War Analysis
32 Threads
The Russian publication Chest' imeyu ("I have the honour") has published an interesting commentary on "Tactics of infantry attacks in the Ukrainian war based on the experience of 2...
Beyond the amateur war analysis: Game theory in the context of Israel's attack on Iran. Now that we have determined what Israel did and who it killed, the next most pertinent ques...
Who am I and why do I cover Sudan?
Contrary to the many ‘Russian are stupid’ stereotypes that have developed throughout the war, they have demonstrated an ability in some areas to learn and adapt. This isn’t a state...
Thank you @fabian70813 and @NeetrihtrM Songbirds and snakes. I've covered this symbology similarly to games such as "the division" which ultimately shows a circle around a Phoeni...
A few thoughts on the current course of the war. Although winter has proven a transitional phase, with both sides focusing on force reconstitution and positional fighting. The outl...
🧵Auld Lang Syne In honor of the momentous year of 2022 grinding to a halt not with a bang, but a whimper, and in light of my having become a somewhat reluctant blogger and small-t...
So I think this article in FP today (https://t.co/KLWvg9ht3F) is...well, I think it's really quite bad? The idea is that the Ukraine War is like WWI in that everyone is all-in on...
Today I had some time to ponder a few of the lessons of the war in Ukraine for NATO armies. Doesn't mean I am 100% correct and everyone will draw different conclusions, but here a...
The situation with the Ukrainian #offensive in the south remains unclear. That said, we know enough about both sides - and from the history of such operations - to propose a few ar...
Let us sort out the most obvious points half a year after Russia attacked Ukraine: 1. Russia has lost this war. 2. Putin has not figured out as yet how he is to explain his embarra...
Alright folks, let's strap in for the most important logistical thread🧵of the Russo-Ukrainian War. This thread is about how much artillery ammunition the Russian Army has left ove...
Sunday update--again little map change, but important shift to the south and west (Kherson) and what that means. Ukraine and the strategy of telegraphing intentions (or not).
Many of us have wondered why the battle for Severodonetsk was quite lengthy, but AFU could not hold that long in Lysychansk, which is on higher ground and across the river. Ukraini...
Back in May, I examined Ukraine’s military strategy in a thread that I informally called ‘The Ukrainians are Masters of 21st Century War”. Today, an update on the Ukrainian approac...
A structural engineer’s view (yes, I was one) of the Antonovski bridge damage and why it has put it out of commission for the rest of the war (1/x) https://t.co/caBN9mBjga
I haven't talked truck logistics in a while. This thread 🧵will revisit truck logistics of the Russo-Ukrainian War. 1. What we thought we knew. 2. The logistical truth on the...
🧵Observations on the Ukraine War 2022-06-28 I've watched a LOT of drone footage from this war. I've seen, from a bird's eye view, the construction and logic of the field fortifica...
Two months ago I said that the fight for the Donbas would have little bearing on the outcome of the war Now as that fight moves into its attritional phase, Putin's evolving strate...
This could roughly translate into ~11-12 mechanized/tank brigades + a # of independent artillery/rocket artillery brigades. 🇺🇦 had a total of 13 active mech./tank brigades pre-Fe...
A few thoughts on the current course of the war and the situation in the Donbas. Recent Russian gains offer a sobering check on expectations for the near term. Will use a few of Na...
Prediction As May 9 is the major symbolic date for the Russian state cult of the "Great Victory", it also serves as a psychological benchmark for Z-war. Thus on May 9 Putin will f...
Let’s talk about the state of the war and one of the most underreported yet crucially important issues: Russian blockade of Ukrainian ports and resulting strangulation of the cou...
Long Thread : "Putin has lost War in Ukraine. Zelensky is the New Winston Churchill who has defeated Modern Hitler Putin!!!” Haven't you been used to such headlines IMPOSED by "I...
